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By the time you read this hopefully things will be getting cooler here in the UK. This summer has been hot and dry. Records have been set, weather warnings have been issued and comparisons made to previous hot summers. In particular 1976.
I remember that Summer, I remember it being dry, very dry, rather than the heat although one obviously is related to the other. Comparing 1976 and 2022, the heat was earlier in โ76 coming in June and July rather that the July and August of โ22 and the more recent heatwave where records were set and in some cases temperature topped 40ยฐC1. At the moment the current spell of hot weather is more comparable to 1976.
The thing I remember the most is a lot of public places – forests, woodland and heathland – were closed due to the risk of fire. The biggest risk of wildfire was often perceived to be the sun shining and being magnified by discarded glass – bottles were all glass, no plastic back then – rather than now where itโs likely to be someoneโs disposable bbq. There were public adverts about it, and most were accepting of the situation. Iโm not sure that trying to do the same in 2022 would be received in the same manner it seems more likely that the outraged self-entitlement would prevail. If as predicted a drought order is introduced it will be interesting to see the public reaction. Generally things like hosepipe bans are accepted but what if there are more significant interventions. I guess weโll have to see, but it does feel like it might prompt some considerable grumbling.
Water was at a premium in โ76, not unlike it is now, but the population was that much smaller. I remember having a small paddling pool that Iโd play in, partly I suspect to cool down and when the pool was emptied it was used to water the garden with. (I can remember my Mum filling it with buckets of water from our waterbutts – we didnโt have an outside tap, and remember hosepipe ban).
I also remember being outside a lot unlike this year. In 2022 when the weather has reached its zenith I have mostly been hiding indoors or in the shade. Fans are the order of the day, blowing hot air around, there was no paddling pool.
Is the comparison between the two years valid? For a one off weather event yes, but 2022 is likely to become closer to the norm for summers in the future. Recent years have seen hot summers and the trend is more towards being hot rather than not. Climate change is driving this, climate is of course not weather. Variability in one off events is weather. 1976 was an unusual weather event, 2022 is also an unusual event but marks a continuing trend in hotter and drier summers. Depending on what the autumn and winter are like we might well still be in drought conditions come the summer of next year. Again this wouldnโt be a first, but it would be significant in terms of how next summer may play out. 2022 is definitely worse than 1976.
In 2068, assuming that global collapse doesnโt happen in the meantime, I donโt think that weโll be looking back at 2022 comparing the weather in the same way. 40ยฐC might well be a mild summer by then, if we donโt get on top of climate change beforehand. Even if we do temperatures will still have risen to a new summer norm and that is certain to be hotter than now. I doubt Iโll be around to see it though.
Itโs nice to enjoy the hot weather, but remember to be careful out there.
Thanks for reading.
I appreciate this is not hot compared to some other places but itโs a record setter for a country which is noted for itโs damp inclement weather.









